Iran War Drives Up Jet Fuel Costs for African Airlines
The ongoing war in Iran is significantly increasing jet fuel prices and worsening supply disruptions for African airlines, according to the African Airlines Association (AFRAA). The crisis is forcing carriers to review routes and raising concerns about the stability of the continent's aviation network.
Higher Costs and Thin Margins
AFRAA reports that African carriers were already paying about 17 percent more for jet fuel than the global average before the conflict. Fuel now accounts for 30 to 40 percent of operating costs, and any price increase directly impacts balance sheets. Some airlines have introduced fuel surcharges, but most cannot pass the full increase to passengers without affecting demand.
Supply Disruptions at Key Hubs
Supply disruptions are affecting major hubs like Nairobi, Kenya, and Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, where consistent jet fuel availability is critical. The Strait of Hormuz, through which about one-fifth of the world's oil and fuel flowed before Iran effectively closed it in February, remains a key concern.
Network Adjustments and Future Outlook
Some airlines have begun adjusting networks, cutting frequencies, and reviewing routes to manage rising costs. Despite strong passenger demand—AFRAA projects 6 percent annual growth—sustained shocks could weigh heavily on profitability and connectivity. AFRAA Secretary-General Abderahmane Berthe warned, "If this continues, the impact on African airlines will be very severe. If Africa wants a resilient aviation sector, it must secure its own fuel future."
