The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has issued a weather alert warning of a prolonged spell of hot and humid weather across most of Pakistan from July 11 to July 18. Monsoon activity is expected to intensify during the second half of the week as a westerly wave combines with moisture-laden currents from the Arabian Sea, increasing the likelihood of thunderstorms and isolated heavy rainfall in the country's northern and upper regions.
Oppressive Heat and Humidity Expected Early Week
The coming week will begin with oppressive heat and high humidity, particularly in plain areas. On Saturday, July 11, the country is expected to experience another day of sweltering conditions, with discomfort likely widespread. Relief from the heat is forecast only in parts of the north, where isolated rain showers accompanied by gusty winds and thunderstorms may develop over Kashmir, upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit Baltistan, northeastern Punjab, and the Pothohar region.
While rainfall is not expected to be widespread, strong wind gusts and lightning could briefly disrupt routine activities in affected areas, bringing a temporary drop in temperatures after storms pass. The NDMA has advised citizens to take precautions against heatstroke and stay hydrated.
Monsoon Activity to Strengthen Mid-Week
As the week progresses, rain-bearing systems are forecast to become increasingly active over northern and upper Pakistan. Scattered to widespread showers and isolated heavy downpours are expected over upper catchments, mountainous areas, and adjoining plains. This heightened activity raises the risk of localized flooding and weather-related disruptions in vulnerable areas.
The combination of a westerly wave and moisture from the Arabian Sea is expected to fuel thunderstorm development, particularly from July 14 onward. The NDMA has urged provincial disaster management authorities and relevant departments to remain vigilant and prepare for potential emergencies.
Risk of Localized Flooding and Disruptions
The heavy downpours forecast for upper catchments and mountainous regions could trigger flash floods and landslides, especially in areas with steep terrain. Adjoining plains may experience urban flooding if drainage systems are overwhelmed. The NDMA has recommended that local authorities clear drainage channels and stockpile relief supplies.
Residents in vulnerable areas are advised to avoid unnecessary travel during heavy rain and to stay informed through official weather updates. Farmers in northern and upper regions should be cautious of potential damage to crops from hail or strong winds.
The NDMA continues to monitor the situation and will issue further updates as necessary. The public is encouraged to follow safety guidelines and report any emergencies to local authorities.
